沉降监测多项式回归分析与神经网络预测     

田丰  文鸿雁  张静 《海洋测绘》2007,27(4):23-27

使用多项式和切比雪夫(Tchebyshev)多项式分别对沉降监测数据进行回归分析以预测未来沉降值,其中切比雪夫多项式的外推效果较好;应用前向BP神经网络对两种不同的单因子输入模式进行非线性函数逼近,并进行了不同采样步长的比较,实例表明将时间点作为网络的输入对沉降进行预测效果较好。  相似文献   

长江河口横沙东滩自然演变及工程影响   总被引：5，自引：0，他引：5  

桑永尧  虞志英  金镠 《海洋学研究》2003,21(3):14-23

横沙东滩(含横沙浅滩)是长江河口主要浅滩之一,在浅滩两侧(北港和北槽主槽)水流控制下,受浅滩横比降形成的过滩水流和较强的风浪作用影响,滩面长期以来少有淤涨。通过对1995～2002年的地形资料(吴淞基面)进行研究分析表明:从总体上看随着北港主槽向南岸进逼,造成横沙东滩窜沟西部到白条子沙之间的滩区北沿明显内凹;随着长江口深水航道治理双导堤工程的实施,在北导堤产生的堵汊、导流和拦沙的作用下,白条子沙至横沙东滩沟滩面出现微淤;而横沙东滩窜沟以东滩面难以淤高。采用促淤工程和就近吹泥上滩方式,增加横沙东滩的滩面高程以加快造地,从而达到既疏浚航道又增加湿地面积的双赢效果。  相似文献   

基于模糊神经网络(FNN)的赤潮预警预测研究   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

张容  阎红  杜丽萍 《海洋通报(英文版)》2006,8(1):83-91

为研究各种理化因子与赤潮藻类浓度间的非线性对应规律和有效预测赤潮藻类浓度,构建了基于BP 算法的一个四层模糊神经网络模型。将模糊神经网络(FNN)技术引入赤潮预测研究,并与普通 BP 网络、RBF 网络的结果作比较,结果表明,该模型能够较好地反演出各种理化因子与夜光藻密度的非线性对应变化规律,有更好的预测功能。  相似文献   

Ghost fishing in European waters: Impacts and management responses     

James Brown  Graeme Macfadyen 《Marine Policy》2007

In this paper we review levels of net loss, what happens to the gear once it has been lost, and the resulting levels of ‘ghost catches’ made in passive net fisheries in the EU. We also consider ghost catches resulting from lost gear in other types of fisheries, and the extent to which the value of ghost catches has been quantified. We consider why fishing gear is lost, and profile common management responses. We present a cost benefit model to assess the relative cost effectiveness of different management measures, and suggest that gear retrieval programmes may provide less value for money than other management responses.  相似文献   

Mussel Periostracum from Deep-Sea Redox Communities as a Microbial Habitat: 3. Secondary Inhabitants     

James E.  Hook Stjepko  Golubic 《Marine Ecology》1992,13(2):119-131

Abstract. Vacated microborings in periostracum of live mussels of the Florida Escarpment redox community (depth of 3266 m) become a habitat for a prolific secondary microbiota consisting of a variety of prokaryotic and a few eukaryotic organisms. Periostracum surface is also colonized by diverse microorganisms, dominated by presumed chemolithotrophic bacteria with stacks of intracellular lamellae. Unlike sheltered microflora within borings, the surface community is heavily grazed upon by numerous archaeogastropods and ciliates.  相似文献   

Observations of the Labrador Sea eddy field   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

Jonathan M. Lilly  Peter B. RhinesFriedrich Schott  Kara LavenderJohn Lazier  Uwe SendEric D’Asaro 《Progress in Oceanography》2003,59(1):75-176

This paper is an observational study of small-scale coherent eddies in the Labrador Sea, a region of dense water formation thought to be of considerable importance to the North Atlantic overturning circulation. Numerical studies of deep convection emphasize coherent eddies as a mechanism for the lateral transport of heat, yet their small size has hindered observational progress. A large part of this paper is therefore devoted to developing new methods for identifying and describing coherent eddies in two observational platforms, current meter moorings and satellite altimetry. Details of the current and water mass structure of individual eddy events, as they are swept past by an advecting flow, can then be extracted from the mooring data. A transition is seen during mid-1997, with long-lived boundary current eddies dominating the central Labrador Sea year-round after this time, and convectively formed eddies similar to those seen in deep convection modeling studies apparent prior to this time. The TOPEX / Poseidon altimeter covers the Labrador Sea with a loose “net” of observations, through which coherent eddies can seem to appear and disappear. By concentrating on locating and describing anomalous events in individual altimeter tracks, a portrait of the spatial and temporal variability of the underlying eddy field can be constructed. The altimeter results reveal an annual “pulsation” of energy and of coherent eddies originating during the late fall at a particular location in the boundary current, pinpointing the time and place of the boundary current-type eddy formation. The interannual variability seen at the mooring is reproduced, but the mooring site is found to be within a localized region of greatly enhanced eddy activity. Notably lacking in both the annual cycle and interannual variability is a clear relationship between the eddies or eddy energy and the intensity of wintertime cooling. These eddy observations, as well as hydrographic evidence, suggest an active role for boundary current dynamics in shaping the energetics and water mass properties of the interior region.  相似文献   

Theory and Practice of Soft Clay Engineering     

Wei Rulong Prof. Senior Engineer  Geotechnical Engineering Department  Nanjing Hydraulic Research Institute  Nanjing 《中国海洋工程》1994,(1)

-The shear strength and deformation properties of soft clay are discussed first. Then some methods for predicting the performance of soft clay foundation are proposed. Finally, case histories are presented to illustrate some discussed aspects of soft clay.  相似文献   

台湾海峡及其西边地区正常地震动态及危险性特征   总被引：1，自引：2，他引：1  

柯龙生  林世敏 《台湾海峡》1994,13(2):190-197

本文从地震的时，空分布特征，区域应力场动态，能量释放方式，ｂ值及震群特征６个方面研究了台湾海峡及其西边地区地震活动的正常动态及异常特征。结果表明，具有前兆意义的变化模式表现为区域地震活动在时间，空间及功能方面的有序性变化，即：（ａ）地震空间分布由分散转为集中，形成条带或空区；（ｂ）断裂活动由多组转为单一，应力场趋向一致；（display status  相似文献   

A conceptual design of an underwater vehicle     

Carl T.F. Ross 《Ocean Engineering》2006,33(16):2087-2104

The paper presents a conceptual design of an underwater star wars’ system, which will be more difficult to detect by the enemy than a recently proposed ‘surface’ star wars’ system.The paper suggests that for the proposed structures needed for the underwater star wars’ system, the material of construction should be a composite and not a metal, as use of the latter for large deep diving underwater vessels will result in such structures sinking to the bottom of the ocean like stones, due to the fact that they will have no reserve buoyancy. The paper also shows that composites have better sound absorption characteristics, thereby making the underwater structures difficult to detect through sonar equipment. It is proposed that these underwater structures should operate up to a depth of 7.16 miles (11.52 km), as at this depth, all of the oceans’ bottoms can be reached.The author shows that current technology can be used to construct and operate such vessels, but more progress needs to be made with metal matrix and ceramic composites, so that the hulls of underwater missiles and torpedoes can be constructed in these materials.  相似文献   

Spatial and temporal distribution patterns of deep‐sea mesozooplankton in the eastern Mediterranean – indications of a climatically induced shift?     

Rolf Koppelmann  & Horst Weikert 《Marine Ecology》2007,28(2):259-275

Zooplankton samples from the eastern Mediterranean were collected in April/May 1999 with a multiple opening and closing net (mesh size 333 μm) to examine the distribution and taxonomic composition of mesozooplankton, mainly Calanoida (Copepoda), some years after the onset of the Eastern Mediterranean Transient (EMT), a climatically induced shift in hydrography. The samples from seven stations on a transect from the Ionian Sea to the eastern part of the Levantine Basin were collected at closely spaced vertical intervals from the surface to water depths of 4250 m. Data from January 1987, June 1993, January 1998 and October 2001 from the main site of investigation, south of Crete, were used to describe the temporal evolution before (1987), during (1993) and after (1998–2001) the EMT. The eastern Mediterranean mesozooplankton fauna is dominated by three Calanoida species along the west–east transect, with varying abundances in different depth‐zones: Haloptilus longicornis in the epipelagic zone, Eucalanus monachus in the mesopelagic zone, and Lucicutia longiserrata in the bathypelagic zone. A drastic change in mesozooplankton composition and abundance occurred at the main site during the EMT, whereupon increased abundances of Candacia elongata and L. longiserrata were observed in the bathypelagic zone in the following years; L. longiserrata accounted for 43% of the total mesozooplankton in this zone. The hypothesis is posed that the Mediterranean deep‐sea ecosystem is able to respond quickly to changes in the environment and memorizes these changes over time. We claim that the biological effects of climatically induced changes can be easily monitored in the deep eastern Mediterranean Sea using calanoid copepod key species due to the hydrographically extreme, but ‘simply structured’ ecosystem.  相似文献